51% of AI researchers put >10% on extinction-level outcomes, data pushback on skeptics

gleech · x · 2026-10-13

Responding to a claim that existential AI risk isn't a daily concern among young researchers, gleech cites survey data: 51% of researchers assign more than 10% probability to human extinction or similarly catastrophic AI outcomes. He also dismisses the "superintelligence is science fiction" argument, noting LLMs themselves were science fiction just 8 years ago.

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