Tech Week is startup Instagram: survivorship bias distorts your sense of base rates
FinanceYF5 · x · 2026-10-13
Tech Week is like Instagram for startups: it only shows the right tail of winners. Companies that ran out of money, never found PMF, or quietly dissolved don't get on stage.
Even "getting acquired" can mean strategic success, acqui-hire, investors salvaging partial returns, or just a graceful exit.
Constantly meeting funded founders and newly minted VPs warps your sense of base rates — these outcomes are not the norm.
Related event: SF Tech Week Signal: AI Focus Shifts from Agents to Infrastructure(5 posts)→
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