Garry Tan: next 18 months are the Kitty Hawk moment for recursive self-improvement

daniel_mac8 · x · 2026-10-13

Y Combinator president Garry Tan tweeted that the next 18 months will be the Kitty Hawk moment for RSI (recursive self-improvement) — with "evals as how you can tell." OpenAI founding member Daniel Kokotajlo replied: "It really may be a 'takeoff' too." A notable public forecast on AI self-improvement timelines from two prominent figures.

Related event: New DeepRSI benchmark debuts as Garry Tan calls RSI's Kitty Hawk moment(2 posts)→

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