ArchitectureQ benchmark: frontier LLMs hit 76% on training intuition vs 66% top humans

gregmushen · x · 2026-10-13

The ArchitectureQ benchmark tests whether LLMs can predict which training recipe works best. Findings: frontier models reach 76% accuracy (random 33%) vs 66% for the best human researcher, yet are imperfect — on architecture-only questions the best human hits 65% while GPT-6 Astra gets 38%; intuition is empirical not structured (CoT doesn't help); a 20-item knowledge base lets GPT-4o nearly match Claude Opus 5; and models are insensitive to dataset properties, suggesting data is AI's real 'dark matter'.

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