AI memory crunch sinks smartphone shipments 20% as Polymarket bets 15% on Apple buying CXMT chips

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-12

Polymarket has listed a prediction market on whether Apple will purchase memory chips from Chinese vendor CXMT in 2026, currently trading at 15%.

The backdrop: AI-driven memory shortages are pushing prices up, with global smartphone shipments plunging 20% — the worst third quarter in 14 years. Memory supply is being squeezed by AI server demand, to the point where Apple may consider Chinese memory suppliers it previously ignored.

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