Cryptographer Matthew Green: assume AI models keep improving at this year's pace
matthew_d_green · x · 2026-10-12
Matthew Green argues the right way to reason about AI capabilities is to assume models keep improving at roughly the same rate as they have since early this year. If so, we're already in new territory and will be in very new territory by next October — so some humility about what models might be capable of is warranted.
Related event: Cryptographer Matthew Green: Assume AI Keeps Improving at This Year's Pace(4 posts)→
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