Karpathy: the gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening into a sharp funnel

andrey_kurenkov · x · 2026-10-12

Andrej Karpathy resurfaces his April tweet stressing that the gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is no longer 'two groups talking past each other' but a sharp, widening funnel. His napkin math: 6B people (75%) have barely touched LLMs; 1-2B are casual free-tier users who see 'derpy chatbots' and often find little use for them; a small minority of heavy users in code/math watch frontier models complete weeks-long projects in days.

Related event: Karpathy: LLM Perception Gap Widening Into a Steep Funnel, Only ~5,000 See the Frontier(15 posts)→

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