VC: no one who has stared into frontier models stays bullish on open source

abhiadesai · x · 2026-10-12

Investor Abhi Adesai argues that "cheap is good enough" doesn't map onto the physics of superintelligence, citing Karpathy's point that only 5,000 people worldwide have seen frontier models' upward capability curve firsthand.

The quoted Metacritic post adds evidence: Musk himself doesn't believe in open-weight superintelligence—xAI could compete with Fireworks and Baseten in open-weight inference, but instead commits hundreds of thousands of GPUs to frontier training and routes Grok consumer users to Anthropic.

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