Waymo CEO Dmitri Dolgov: problem convergence tells you if shipping is one year or ten away

a16z · x · 2026-10-12

In a conversation with South Park Commons shared by a16z, Waymo CEO Dmitri Dolgov lays out heuristics for gauging deployment readiness: check whether your 'discoveries' have converged (are today's problems the same as six months ago?), and whether you already have a deployment scorecard that, if green today, would let you ship with confidence. Shifting problem landscapes and a missing scorecard signal a long road ahead; stable metrics plus an existing scorecard mean you're close.

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