François Fleuret: trusting model predictions boils down to confidence intervals

francoisfleuret · x · 2026-10-12

François Fleuret argues that when it comes to trusting a model's prediction in a real-world situation, there's not much beyond basic statistics: essentially confidence intervals around empirical averages, built on concentration bounds. He reposted this after deleting an earlier version of the same point.

Related event: Fleuret: Formal Math Offers No Model Guarantees Beyond Basic Statistics(2 posts)→

Original post →

More from Research

Research channel →