Fleuret: beyond basic statistics, fancy math like Lean offers nothing for model guarantees

francoisfleuret · x · 2026-10-12

François Fleuret argues that when it comes to mathematical guarantees about models, you have basic statistics and concentration bounds — and that's it. In his view, the idea that Lean or fancy mathematics could help in any way "makes no sense," a direct pushback against formal-methods approaches to AI safety guarantees.

Related event: Fleuret: Formal Math Offers No Model Guarantees Beyond Basic Statistics(2 posts)→

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