VC Gavin Baker: OpenAI and Anthropic Failing Would Actually Be Best for Future VC Investments

BetterIRR · x · 2026-10-11

Investor Gavin Baker debated @BetterIRR on AI venture demand: half a trillion dollars in non-lab AI startups may be artificially boosting demand. Baker argued their failure would be best for future VC investments but expects a stable multi-player equilibrium with Muse, Grok, open-weight models, and Gemini; open-weight tokens are highly profitable and growing much faster than OpenAI and Anthropic.

Related event: Investor Gavin Baker: No One in the AI Supply Chain Takes OpenAI and Anthropic's Trillion-Dollar Promises Seriously(5 posts)→

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