binarybits: the nuclear analogy is backwards — I'm not saying AI won't work

binarybits · x · 2026-10-10

Continuing the AGI risk debate, binarybits argues the nuclear analogy being used is backwards: his position isn't that AI probably won't work so we shouldn't bother building it.

This responds to creabuntur's analogy about 1940-41, when Allied technical arguments for nuclear feasibility might have been drowned out by the comforting story that "nothing like that has happened before."

Related event: AGI risk debate hinges on nuclear analogy dispute(3 posts)→

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