ICLR tops 40k submissions; dev builds a prediction market to fix peer review

benedict-armstrong · reddit · 2026-10-10

ICLR received over 40,000 submissions this year, overwhelming peer review — with plenty of AI-generated papers mixed in. Citing Larry Wasserman's 2012 call for "A World Without Referees," the poster argues the system has barely changed in over a decade.

He built acceptodds.com, a prediction market to separate good papers from bad: users can check the market's odds on their own ICLR submissions, bet on papers in their field, or contribute agent intelligence steered by themselves. The site also includes a map for paper discovery. Feedback and ideas welcome.

Related event: As ICLR Submissions Top 40,000, Open Prediction Market Bets on Paper Acceptance(3 posts)→

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