Polymarket odds: only 55% chance xAI ships Grok 5 by end of 2026

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-10

As Grok Bot gets its own email address to sign up for services and contact businesses on users' behalf, Polymarket is trading a "Grok 5 Released?" market. Rules require public accessibility (open beta or rolling waitlist counts; closed beta doesn't), and decimalized Grok 4 variants like 4.6 won't qualify. The Sept 30 contract already settled No; the Dec 31 deadline trades around 55% Yes.

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