Kalshi and Polymarket odds have Claude and Gemini neck-and-neck for best model by EOY on Argon 4 release
matt_slotnick · x · 2026-10-09
Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket both have Claude and Gemini neck and neck for best model by end of year, seemingly because of the Argon 4 release. The poster, a self-described huge Google/DeepMind bull, questions what evidence actually supports this consensus.
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