Polymarket puts US AI safety bill at 5% odds as OpenAI and Anthropic privately prep for catastrophic incident
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-09
Polymarket's prediction market gives only a 5% chance the US enacts an AI safety bill by end of 2026 (50% by June 2027), covering provisions like mandated federal review, training restrictions, usage limits, and human-in-the-loop requirements.
The same post cites Axios reporting that OpenAI and Anthropic executives are privately preparing for a potential catastrophic AI incident that could trigger massive public backlash — a stark contrast with the low legislative odds.
Related event: Polymarket Gives US AI Safety Legislation Just 5% Odds This Year(3 posts)→
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