QwQiao: US debt crisis and AI disruption riskier than AI/quantum breaking crypto

menhguin · x · 2026-10-09

Investor QwQiao argues that over the next 5 years, the probability of a US debt crisis — and of any individual tech company being existentially disrupted by AI — is materially higher than the probability of AI/quantum breaking crypto.

His point: if you sold your BTC over the AI/quantum risk, you're almost certainly misjudging that risk against whatever you sold into — cash and bonds heading toward zero, or tech stocks already in a reflexive bubble facing the same AI threats.

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