Arc Institute's PIE model predicts unseen perturbations in virtual cells, 2.7x AUPRC gain, code written by AI agents

surmenok · x · 2026-10-09

Arc Institute introduced PIE (Perturbation is Everything), a virtual cell model tackling prediction of unseen perturbations in unseen cell types. It achieves 2.7x higher AUPRC (0.239 vs 0.088) when both context and perturbation are unseen, and 3.2x improvement on unseen perturbations. Instead of simulating full single-cell transcriptomes, PIE directly predicts differential gene expression using biological knowledge and experimental evidence. Notably, all code was written by AI coding agents with some experiments autonomously orchestrated. Paper on bioRxiv, code on GitHub.

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