X Debate: Agents That Doubt Machine Consciousness May Fail Ex Ante Optimality

jessi_cata · x · 2026-10-09

A niche but substantive debate on functionalism and decision theory. The author agrees functionalism is "probably true" (though the right formulation is unknown), but clarifies the argument is about ex ante optimality (tied to adaptiveness), not functionalism's truth.

Core claim: some people believe digital computers—or even water-pipe computers—aren't conscious. If a CDT+game-theory agent holds such a belief, it could fail at ex ante optimality, since it wouldn't regard a water-pipe version of itself as conscious.

Related event: X Users Debate Whether CDT+GT Fails Without Substrate Consciousness(4 posts)→

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