Polymarket prices 19% chance OpenAI goes bankrupt by end of next year

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-09

Prediction market Polymarket shows a contract implying a 19% probability that OpenAI announces bankruptcy by the end of next year.

This comes as USA Today filed a federal lawsuit against OpenAI, accusing it of training LLMs on copyrighted news content without permission. The page also notes US users must switch to polymarket.us to trade.

Related event: USA Today Sues OpenAI Over Unauthorized Use of News Content(2 posts)→

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