Debate: EY's prediction that a non-SGD system will outpace SGD labs before ASI
QuintinPope5 · x · 2026-10-08
AI safety commentator Quintin Pope revisits Eliezer Yudkowsky's past forecasting record, noting that EY moderately predicted a non-SGD system would overtake SGD-based labs in capabilities before "real" ASI arrives — and Pope expects this to be another miss. The thread also captures the ensuing friction, with Pope objecting to a one-word "wrong" reply linking an irrelevant post, insisting the two claims under dispute are wildly different.
Related event: Quintin Pope Debates Yudkowsky's Model of Intelligence and Generalization(7 posts)→
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