Polymarket Puts Grok 5 Release Odds at 52% by End of 2026 After September Deadline Fails

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-07

Polymarket's "Grok 5 Released?" market prices a 52% chance of release by December 31, 2026, while the "by September 30, 2026" market has settled No.

Rules define release as public availability (open beta or rolling waitlist counts; closed beta or enterprise-only does not), and decimal variants like Grok 4.6/4.7 don't qualify — real money is now pricing xAI's next-gen timeline.

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