OpenAI model nets new math solutions; critique says missing preregistration skews the curve

Jsevillamol · x · 2026-10-07

Debate over OpenAI's new math results: cited stats suggest 2 new FMOP solutions (of 40 remaining) and 12 new FM Erdős problems (of 63), implying a 5-20% chance this model+compute solves an arbitrary open problem of substantial interest. Jsevillamol argues the apparent burst is an artifact of no preregistration — with a preregistered problem set, the progress curve would look much smoother.

Related event: OpenAI Math Results Split the Math World Between Awe and Existential Doubt(47 posts)→

Original post →

More from Models

Models channel →