Scott Alexander fires back at Pinker in debate over AI prediction track records

deanwball · x · 2026-10-07

Scott Alexander and Steven Pinker are sparring over AI trend forecasts. Alec Stapp notes that one side has a far better track record on predicting AI progress, arguing the burden of proof now sits with Pinker to explain why anyone should still listen to him. The post links to Alexander's full response.

Related event: Scott Alexander's Open Letter to Pinker Ignites Multi-Front AI Risk Debate(17 posts)→

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