Rationalist community's P(Doom) groupthink is driving its unusual behavior

teortaxesTex · x · 2026-10-07

Commentary on an AI-circle spat: Scott (Astral Codex Ten) is described as terrified and lashing out at Steven Pinker. The author argues the 'Aella wing' of the rationalist community now exhibits strong groupthink around P(Doom), and that some of its members' unconventional behavior stems from expecting to be paperclipped within 5 years — a window into the community's cultural divide on AI safety.

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