Predicting a 'third thing' RSI: capability leap in ~9 months via automated R&D, short of full FOOM

teortaxesTex · x · 2026-10-07

hamandcheese predicts recursive self-improvement arrives as a 'secret third thing': within 9 months, automated R&D drives discontinuous capability leaps across domains—short of a Yudkowskyan FOOM. ASI gets declared, progress in math/science/medicine accelerates, incumbents turn over, disruption stays tolerable. teortaxesTex argues this is the last defensible version of FOOM logic, with scalable atomic/molecular assembly for custom chips as the simplest route.

Related event: Debating a 'Third Kind' of Singularity via Automated R&D(2 posts)→

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