Henry Shevlin grades his 2019 AI predictions: right on GPT-2, wrong on LLM understanding

dioscuri · x · 2026-10-06

Philosopher Henry Shevlin revisits his 2019 essay on the direction of AI and gives himself a B+: he saw GPT-2's potential but was too quick to assume LLMs couldn't develop genuine understanding. The original long-read ranged from Chinese poetry and Harry Potter fan fiction to the Winograd Schema Challenge, probing whether machines can truly model human behavior and narrative.

Related event: Philosopher Revisits 2019 AI Predictions: Right on GPT-2, Wrong on LLM Understanding(2 posts)→

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