Polymarket odds put Moonshot AI's HK IPO at 74% by mid-2027, targeting $3B raise
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-06
Polymarket launched a prediction market on Moonshot AI's (Kimi) IPO timeline. Traders are anchored on its confidential Hong Kong filing from early September 2026, targeting a Q1 2027 listing and up to a $3B raise. Context: Kimi K3, a 2.8T-parameter open-weight model, drove ARR to $300M and talks of a $50B valuation round; the VIE unwind cleared the regulatory path, mirroring Zhipu AI. Odds: 3% by end-2026, 17% by March 2027, 74% by June 2027. US distillation accusations and export restrictions add timing risk.
Related event: Moonshot AI Reportedly Targets Hong Kong IPO as Early as Q1 2027(2 posts)→
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