Orbital AI by 2028: $700/kg launch cost is the gate, 4,000 satellites for 1GW
JOBhakdi · x · 2026-10-06
The author predicts orbital AI datacenters arrive in 2028, needing two things: launch costs below $700/kg (achievable by Starship, even without full reusability) and space-rated hardware — SpaceX and Nvidia are developing a space-ready Vera Rubin NVL72 rack with 250kW per satellite, targeted for Q4 2027. The math: 250kW × 4,000 satellites = 1GW, requiring a few hundred Starship flights. After that, the constraint is Starship production rate. Note: the post promotes a related investment, so treat incentives accordingly.
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