Polymarket puts just ~5% odds on US enacting an AI safety bill
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-06
On Polymarket, the contract for the US enacting an AI safety bill by December 31, 2026 trades at 23¢ (latest quote implying 5% near-term odds). The market's definition is broad: any law imposing release bans/review mandates, training restrictions, usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements on AI developers/deployers counts. Context: ex-Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon told NYC lawmakers "we do not know how to control any AI system yet," warning kill switches won't be enough.
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