Daniel Kokotajlo grades his own 2021 predictions for what 2026 would look like
ClankerCore · reddit · 2026-10-05
Daniel Kokotajlo, author of the AI 2027 report, has published an evaluation of his 2021 essay "What 2026 Looks Like," scoring how well his pre-AI-2027 predictions about the world in 2026 held up — a notable exercise in forecast self-calibration from one of the most-watched AGI forecasters.
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