Pundit predicts AI wins Fields Medal by 2028, Nobel not crazy by 2030
gabriberton · x · 2026-10-05
xanderai predicts tens of thousands of robots in homes by 2028, with AI "likely" winning a Fields Medal by 2028 and a Nobel Prize "not crazy" by 2030, calling AI the biggest impact on biology in our lifetimes.
gabriberton adds a rules-based twist: the Nobel requires the winner to be currently alive — raising the question of whether AI counts as alive — while the Fields Medal only requires being under 40, and frontier LLMs are just three months old.
The thread captures the community's bullish sentiment on frontier models' imminent impact on fundamental science.
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