US labor market looks fine on paper but has frozen: hiring back at 2012 levels

randal_olson · x · 2026-10-04

A follow-up by Randal Olson attaching the data source for his US labor market analysis: beneath a 4.2% unemployment rate, hiring sits at 2012 levels, quits are rare, unemployment durations stretch out, and labor's share of output is at a record low.

Related event: US Labor Market Looks Stable but Is Effectively Frozen(2 posts)→

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