Gary Marcus Amplifies Critique: 'AGI in Two Years' Is Tech's Version of a Godman's Prophecy

GaryMarcus · x · 2026-10-04

Gary Marcus retweeted and endorsed @ThreadedInsight's argument that podcasters should stop treating frontier-AI executives as disinterested scientists when asking for AI forecasts, and instead invite computer scientists and cognitive researchers who study the hard limits of the technology rather than those selling roadmaps.

The core claim: "AGI in two years" predictions increasingly function as the tech version of a godman's prophecy — vague enough to sound profound, grand enough to go viral, and repeated so often that outsiders treat them as settled science, when in reality it's all hype.

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