Anthropic study: robots cost-competitive for just 0.3% of US work hours
VraserX · x · 2026-10-04
Discussion of an Anthropic study on robot economics: by working time, robots are cost-competitive for only 0.3% of US work today, and reaching 10% would take roughly 40 years if prices keep falling at their historical rate.
The author challenges the timeline assumption: if AI makes robot engineering, training and manufacturing much cheaper, yesterday's price curve could be a terrible guide — a possibility the study itself acknowledges. He accepts the current cost estimate but not the timeline, asking: would you bet robots remain uneconomical for almost everything in 2036?
More from AGI Musings
- Ex-OpenAI researcher jokes: losing CoT monitorability is 'weight, weight, don't tell me' — Miles_Brundage · 2026-10-04
- tszzl Defends Iterative Deployment: Even Learning It's Too Dangerous to Scale Is a Win — nitarshan · 2026-10-04
- Musk Endorses Case That Humanoids Supply 8,700 Hours a Year vs. a Human's 2,000 — elonmusk · 2026-10-04
- How Well Do We Really Understand Neural Networks? An AI Interpretability Debate — burny_tech · 2026-10-04
- Rationalists have saner norms, so don't trust other communities' rejects — ctjlewis · 2026-10-04
- Reddit's brutal analogy: OpenAI promises safety, Anthropic abstains — six kids either way — infinitefailandlearn · 2026-10-04