Pedro Domingos: imminent-AGI arguments rest on dumb linear extrapolation
pmddomingos · x · 2026-10-04
ML professor Pedro Domingos argues that all imminent-AGI arguments boil down to "AI has solved a lot of problems recently, so it will solve all the remaining ones at the same speed." He calls this dumb extrapolation especially hilarious coming from people who supposedly know machine learning.
Related event: ML Scholar Pedro Domingos Slams AGI-Imminent Claims as Naive Extrapolation(2 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- AI Could End One-Size-Fits-All Schooling by Giving Every Student a Personal Tutor — r0ck3t23 · 2026-10-04
- AI tutors could break education's one-teacher limit, argues viral thread — r0ck3t23 · 2026-10-04
- Anthropic study: robots cost-competitive for just 0.3% of US work hours — VraserX · 2026-10-04
- Chamath: our token bill doubles every 45 days, output up just 5% — bittingthembits · 2026-10-04
- Gary Marcus: 87.5% of popular AI tweets use made-up numbers — a statistic he just made up — GaryMarcus · 2026-10-04
- Whatever Your Take on AI Risks, Someone Will Think You're a Lunatic — burny_tech · 2026-10-04