Anthropic's Sholto Douglas: AI capex could hit $4T by 2028 and double GDP by early 2030s

ziv_ravid · x · 2026-10-04

Anthropic's Sholto Douglas says compute devoted to AI has grown 2-3x yearly for 4-5 years, with hyperscalers spending $1T on AI capex this year. If the trend holds, capex reaches $2T next year and $4T in 2028, and extending it to robotics could start doubling humanity's GDP by the early 2030s. Quote-tweeter zivravid notes global GDP at current rates only doubles by 2050, urging people to trust economists on economic claims.

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