arXiv trends suggest AI uplift hits quantum physics within a year, all physics by late 2029

cephaloform · x · 2026-10-03

Using arXiv publication trends as a proxy, the author estimates when AI will provide as much research uplift to a field as it does to mathematics today: quantum physics could reach that point within a year, physics as a whole by late 2029, while biology's curve has barely moved yet. A rough but observable cross-discipline comparison, not a causal claim.

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