Open-closed model gap widest at 12 points; observer predicts Chinese labs close it in a year
teortaxesTex · x · 2026-10-03
Quoting an analysis showing the widest open/closed gap since late 2025, teortaxesTex predicts Chinese labs—chiefly DeepSeek—will build OpenAI/Anthropic-style systems within a year, having assembled most components for recursive self-improvement and needing mainly more data, environments, and compute.
The quoted analysis: top open model MiMo-V2.6-Pro scores 46 on AA Index, trailing the 105-day-old closed Fable 5 (50) by 4, and frontier Opus 5.5 (58) by 12. October releases expected: Kimi K3.1, GLM 5.5, DeepSeek V4.1 Pro, Minimax M3.1 Pro, Step 5.
More from Models
- antirez: Calling classifiers 'decision models' is a crime against machine learning — antirez · 2026-10-03
- Polymarket opens betting market on when Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) ships — Polymarket · 2026-10-03
- Redditors ask: will a frontier-grade, minimally restricted model ever exist? — Dogbold · 2026-10-03
- Qwen's Justin Lin: DeepSeek v4.1 Flash Paper With Only 191 Upvotes Is 'Ridiculous' — JustinLin610 · 2026-10-03
- GPT-6 Astra clears StarCraft BW Tier A bots after nearly 8 hours of play — philipvollet · 2026-10-03
- Redditor finds GPT 6.1 Sol runs for hours without usage caps, matching Opus — topdaytrader1 · 2026-10-03