Apple research shows confidence-based discrete diffusion samplers hit theoretical limits

Apple ML Research · rss · 2026-10-02

Apple ML Research's paper "Limits of Confidence in Diffusion" analyzes discrete diffusion models, including remasking and uniform-state samplers, which write multiple token positions per step drawn from per-position distributions.

The authors prove that a step matches the training distribution only when the written positions are conditionally independent given the already-fixed tokens, and that no product of per-position distributions can match a dependent group of tokens. Since pixels, phonemes, and words exhibit inherent dependencies, confidence-based sampling strategies face fundamental limitations in these domains.

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