OpenAI paper: simulating deployment predicts LLM safety before release

JacquesThibs · x · 2026-10-03

A lighthearted tweet (the author double-checks the submission date — 8 Jul 2026) highlights a new OpenAI safety paper, "Predicting LLM Safety Before Release by Simulating Deployment", by Marcus Williams, Hannah Sheahan, Cameron Raymond, Tomasz Korbak and others.

The core idea: before a model ships, simulate realistic deployment environments to predict its post-release safety behavior — shifting safety evaluation from reactive discovery after launch to proactive prediction before launch. A related "Blind Refusal" paper will be presented at CoLM.

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