Polymarket Puts Just 5% Odds on US Enacting an AI Safety Bill by End of 2026

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-02

Prediction market Polymarket is running a market on whether the US enacts an AI safety bill, pricing only 5-16% by December 31, 2026 and 82% by June 30, 2027. The market defines qualifying legislation broadly: mandated federal review of model releases, training/compute restrictions, usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements. The same thread cites a new study warning that emotional relationships with AI chatbots can lead to addiction-like attachment, harmful advice, and worsening mental health symptoms.

Related event: Polymarket Bets US AI Safety Legislation Is Unlikely Soon(4 posts)→

Original post →

More from Safety

Safety channel →