Solomonoff Induction vs "Just Next-Token Prediction": The Endless AGI Debate

burny_tech · x · 2026-10-02

X user quetzalrainbow argues there's an "infinitely tall wall of hot plasma" between people who understand Solomonoff induction and AIXI — and therefore why a sufficiently good statistical predictor is just AGI — and those who dismiss LLMs as "lol it just predicts next token." The post reignites the long-running debate over whether next-token prediction can lead to general intelligence.

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