Autoregressive Transformers Extrapolate Chaos From Local Trajectories, Matching the Feigenbaum Constant to 5×10⁻⁴

LMU · hf · 2026-10-02

LMU researchers train small autoregressive transformers from scratch on trajectories from restricted parameter regimes of nonlinear systems (logistic/sine maps, Lorenz, generalized Hopf). Under closed-loop evaluation far outside training distributions, the models recover period-doubling cascades, chaos, and attractor structures with high fidelity—on the logistic map reproducing doublings up to period 128 with a scaling ratio of 4.6687, matching the Feigenbaum constant within 5×10⁻⁴. Causal interventions reveal how control-parameter information flows through attention into state prediction, suggesting a narrow local window suffices for global dynamical generalization.

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