Paul Scharre: Most AI Strategies Rest on the Same Unexamined Assumptions
paul_scharre · x · 2026-10-02
Paul Scharre (CNAS) observes that despite an explosion of AI scenarios and strategies, most cluster around a core set of assumptions: a small number of frontier actors, a clear AGI/superintelligence moment, a possibly decisive first-mover advantage, and rapid conversion of intelligence into strategic capability. Strategies from slowing AI to racing to AGI all rest on these.
Related event: CNAS scholar challenges assumptions behind mainstream AI strategies(3 posts)→
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