Polymarket Puts Just 10% Odds on OpenAI Fully Pausing AI Training This Year
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-02
Prediction market Polymarket has opened a market on which AI labs will announce a full training pause in 2026, currently pricing OpenAI fully pausing AI training by end of year at just 10%.
The market tracks whether major labs would voluntarily halt training over safety or regulatory concerns, and traders clearly see that as unlikely near-term. Note that trading is blocked in the US on polymarket.com, with users redirected to view-only mode.
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