Skeptics predict Gemini 4 will underperform its benchmarks and get beaten this month

zacharynado · x · 2026-10-02

Quoting a skeptical take, zacharynado predicts Gemini 4 'Argon' will launch to the public, underperform relative to its benchmarks like nearly all Gemini models, and be surpassed by new Anthropic and OpenAI releases within the same month — while hoping to be proven wrong.

Related event: Gemini 4 Expectations Split as Google Restart Pretraining(2 posts)→

Original post →

More from Models

Models channel →