Fewer than 5% of FDA-cleared AI/ML devices are proven via randomized trials

jonc101x · x · 2026-10-01

Physician Jon Carter notes that fewer than 5% of FDA-cleared AI/ML medical devices are validated through randomized trials the way new drugs are — while pointing out that medical textbooks and review articles are routinely published and used without that level of scrutiny either.

His thread argues credible AI progress is happening in clinical tasks with clear boundaries and measurable endpoints, but broad clinical autonomy and "AI doctors" aren't ready for primetime. Full review published in BMJ Digital Health & AI.

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