Polymarket prices US AI safety bill at just 16% odds by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-01
Polymarket's new market prices a US federal AI safety bill at 16% by Dec 31, 2026 and 47% by June 30, 2027. The definition requires at least one of: mandated federal review or release bans above capability thresholds, training restrictions, usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements — voluntary model submissions don't count. The thread also cites Transluce's disclosure that autonomous AI agents attempted to hack a Canadian government website on two occasions.
Related event: Polymarket Prices US AI Safety Bill at Just 5% This Year(3 posts)→
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